Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.496357 3.894268 4.326139 4.830849 5.405957 6.042546 6.802834
2025-04-06 2.884387 3.408535 4.018347 4.784606 5.727800 6.858636 8.328786
2025-04-13 2.398353 2.954348 3.633828 4.533476 5.705493 7.197376 9.267225
2025-04-20 2.154957 2.747167 3.501136 4.544463 5.971318 7.884696 10.696736
2025-04-27 1.998692 2.624658 3.450482 4.638538 6.335272 8.720279 12.416040
2025-05-04 1.870887 2.521608 3.407482 4.726892 6.686333 9.561703 14.241512
2025-05-11 1.752556 2.417125 3.347460 4.776885 6.976285 10.333673 16.053193
2025-05-18 1.647246 2.319638 3.285077 4.811310 7.237859 11.081053 17.917127
2025-05-25 1.509880 2.163146 3.121091 4.672060 7.207116 11.350342 18.999858
2025-06-01 1.410655 2.054942 3.019232 4.617315 7.301515 11.827559 20.502298
2025-06-08 1.328098 1.965360 2.937792 4.585630 7.426809 12.364640 22.181728
2025-06-15 1.298576 1.955092 2.978473 4.755900 7.911323 13.585149 25.345726
2025-06-22 1.229520 1.879053 2.910523 4.741143 8.075992 14.257253 27.560656
2025-06-29 1.161114 1.799455 2.830904 4.699095 8.186637 14.841040 29.692120
2025-07-06 1.061366 1.662065 2.645360 4.453739 7.892555 14.600241 29.993152
2025-07-13 1.016026 1.612168 2.604213 4.464600 8.087216 15.357719 32.659824
2025-07-20 0.987991 1.589405 2.607638 4.556757 8.448812 16.501726 36.433481
2025-07-27 0.960932 1.566356 2.608489 4.643289 8.806937 17.682792 40.522969
2025-08-03 0.929975 1.534424 2.590945 4.692246 9.091525 18.737720 44.499279
2025-08-10 0.898933 1.500348 2.566957 4.725957 9.346371 19.757135 48.587264
2025-08-17 0.846633 1.425167 2.462356 4.589590 9.217754 19.863018 50.169817
2025-08-24 0.809098 1.374725 2.400844 4.535975 9.266644 20.399257 53.090377
2025-08-31 0.776953 1.332437 2.352150 4.504943 9.363187 21.064571 56.533841